2024年北卡羅萊納州州長選舉
2024年北卡羅萊納州州長選舉將於2024年11月5日舉行,以選舉北卡羅萊納州州長。由於北卡羅萊納州州長有州長任期限制,現任民主黨州長羅伊·庫珀不能尋求連任。
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民主黨初選
編輯候選人
編輯初選結果
編輯黨派 | 候選人 | 得票數 | 百分比 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
民主黨 | 喬許·史坦 | 476,448 | 69.64 | |
民主黨 | 麥可·摩根 | 97,908 | 14.31 | |
民主黨 | 克雷爾·布克 | 45,695 | 6.68 | |
民主黨 | 馬庫斯·威廉斯 | 38,996 | 5.70 | |
民主黨 | 加里·福克斯 | 25,100 | 3.67 | |
合計 | 684,147 | 100 |
共和黨初選
編輯候選人
編輯初選結果
編輯黨派 | 候選人 | 得票數 | 百分比 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
共和黨 | 馬克·羅賓遜 | 663,917 | 64.8 | |
共和黨 | 戴爾·福韋爾 | 196,108 | 19.2 | |
共和黨 | 比爾·格雷厄姆 | 163,757 | 16.0% | |
合計 | 1,023,782 | 100 |
自由意志黨初選
編輯候選人
編輯初選結果
編輯黨派 | 候選人 | 得票數 | 百分比 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
自由黨 | 麥克·羅斯 | 2,898 | 59.49 | |
自由黨 | 沙農·布雷 | 1,973 | 40.51 | |
合計 | 4,871 | 100 |
大選
編輯候選人
編輯民調
編輯- 民調匯總
匯總來源 | 調查日期 | 更新日期 | 喬許·史坦 (D) | 馬克·羅賓遜 (R) | 未決 [a] |
差距 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
真清晰政治[2] | September 20 - October 8, 2024 | October 10, 2024 | 52.1% | 36.3% | 11.6% | Stein +15.8% |
270toWin[3] | October 2-10, 2024 | October 10, 2024 | 50.6% | 35.0% | 14.4% | Stein +15.6% |
國會山報/DDHQ[4] | through October 8, 2024 | October 10, 2024 | 51.8% | 36.4% | 11.8% | Stein +15.4% |
平均 | 51.5% | 35.9% | 12.6% | Stein +15.6% |
民調來源 | 調查日期 | 樣本[b] | 誤差 | 喬許·史坦 (D) | 馬克·羅賓遜 (R) | 其它 | 未決 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[A] | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 34% | 5%[c] | 11% |
ActiVote | September 5 – October 5, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 44% | – | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 36% | 4%[d] | 14% |
Quinnipiac University | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 41% | 2%[e] | 4% |
52% | 39% | 6%[f] | 3% | ||||
The Washington Post | September 25–29, 2024 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 2%[g] | 6% |
1,001 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 38% | 2%[h] | 7% | ||
High Point University | September 20–29, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 34% | 3% | 11% |
814 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 32% | 3% | 14% | ||
Emerson College[C] | September 27–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 33% | 4%[i] | 12% |
RMG Research[D] | September 25–27, 2024 | 780 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 38% | 5%[j] | 8% |
East Carolina University | September 23–26, 2024 | 1,005 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 33% | 5%[k] | 13% |
AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,173 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 38% | 3%[l] | 5% |
CNN/SSRS | September 20–25, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 36% | 11%[m] | – |
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[E] | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 53% | 33% | 7%[n] | 8% |
59% | 35% | – | 6% | ||||
Fox News | September 20–24, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 41% | 1%[o] | 3% |
991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 40% | 2%[p] | 3% | ||
Marist College | September 19–24, 2024 | 1,507 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 42% | 1%[q] | 3% |
1,348 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 54% | 43% | 1%[q] | 2% | ||
NYT/Siena College | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 37% | – | 16% |
682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 36% | – | 17% | ||
Meredith College | September 18–20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | 5%[r] | 9% |
Victory Insights (R) | September 16–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
Emerson College[A] | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 2%[s] | 10% |
Morning Consult | September 11–18, 2024 | 1,314 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 37% | 1% | 12% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/ Impact Research (D)[F] |
September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |
Cygnal (R)[G] | September 15–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.99% | 46% | 39% | 2%[t] | 13% |
Elon University | September 4–13, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.74% | 49% | 35% | 3% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] | September 6–9, 2024 | 495 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 33% | 3%[u] | 23% |
Quinnipiac University | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 42% | 1%[v] | 4% |
51% | 41% | 5%[w] | 4% | ||||
Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,369 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 2%[x] | 11% |
SurveyUSA[H] | September 4–7, 2024 | 676 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 37% | – | 12% |
Florida Atlantic University | September 5–6, 2024 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 38% | – | 14% |
619 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% | ||
Emerson College[A] | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 41% | 3%[y] | 10% |
East Carolina University | August 25–28, 2024 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 1%[z] | 11% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] | August 25–28, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 44% | 40% | 4%[aa] | 13% |
SoCal Strategies (R)[I] | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 47% | 37% | – | 16% |
Fox News | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 43% | 2%[ab] | 1% |
ActiVote | July 26 – August 26, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – | – |
SurveyUSA/High Point University | August 19–21, 2024 | 1,053 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 34% | – | 18% |
941 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 36% | – | 14% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] | August 12–15, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 39% | 3%[ac] | 13% |
NYT/Siena College | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 38% | – | 14% |
655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 39% | – | 12% | ||
YouGov (D)[J] | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 36% | 6%[ad] | 13% |
Cygnal (R) | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 4%[ae] | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 3%[af] | 16% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 5%[ag] | 23% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[K] | July 19–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | – | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] | July 16–18, 2024 | 461 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 36% | 4%[ah] | 23% |
Spry Strategies | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 43% | – | 18% |
East Carolina University | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |
North Star Opinion Research (R)[L] | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |
Change Research (D)[J] | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |
High Point University | May 2–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 34% | 39% | – | 27% |
1,002 (A) | ± 3.2% | 30% | 35% | – | 35% | ||
Cygnal (R)[M] | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 5%[ai] | 17% |
Emerson College | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | 5%[aj] | 12% |
Meeting Street Insights (R)[N] | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 37% | 6%[ak] | 13% |
Meredith College | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 36% | – | 20% |
Cygnal (R)[O] | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 40% | – | 18% |
Quinnipiac University | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 52% | 44% | 2%[al] | 3% |
48% | 41% | 7%[am] | 3% | ||||
High Point University | March 22–30, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 34% | – | 29% |
Marist College | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
SurveyUSA[H] | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
Cygnal (R)[O] | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |
Change Research (D)[J] | February 15–19, 2024 | 1,622 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 41% | – | 14% |
Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 35% | – | 17% |
East Carolina University | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |
Meredith College | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 36% | – | 19% |
Change Research (D)[J] | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 42% | – | 20% |
Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 41% | – | 21% |
Cygnal (R)[O] | May 12–23, 2023 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 18% |
Change Research (D)[J] | May 5–8, 2023 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | – | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 2–3, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |
Differentiator Data (R)[P] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |
Meeting Street Insights (R)[Q] | May 12–16, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | – | 10% |
假設民調
- Josh Stein vs. Dale Folwell
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Josh Stein (D) |
Dale Folwell (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 31% | 27% |
East Carolina University | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
Cygnal (R)[O] | May 12–23, 2023 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
- Josh Stein vs. Bill Graham
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Josh Stein (D) |
Bill Graham (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
East Carolina University | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 35% | 25% |
East Carolina University | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
- Josh Stein vs. Mark Walker
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Josh Stein (D) |
Mark Walker (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R)[O] | May 12–23, 2023 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Point University | February 16–23, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 2%[an] | 7% |
選舉結果
編輯政黨 | 候選人 | 票數 | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
民主黨 | 喬許·史坦 | ||||
共和黨 | 馬克·羅賓遜 | ||||
自由意志黨 | 麥克·羅斯 | ||||
綠黨 | 韋恩·特納 | ||||
總票數 |
參見
編輯註釋
編輯- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't Vote" and "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 3%, Smith (C), "Wouldn't Vote", and "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 4%; "Would Not Vote" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Smith (C), "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Neither" with 8%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ 17.0 17.1 "Another party's candidate" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G), Smith (C), and "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Ross (L) with 2%
- ^ Ross (L) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; Smith (C) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G), Smith (C), "Write-in candidate" each with <1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Others" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Undecided Third Party" with 4%
- ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%
參考資料
編輯- ^ 03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE. North Carolina State Board of Elections. [6 March 2024].
- ^ 2024 North Carolina Governor - Robinson vs. Stein | RealClearPolling. www.realclearpolling.com. [2024-10-11]. (原始內容存檔於2024-11-26).
- ^ 2024 Polls: North Carolina Governor - 270toWin. 270toWin.com. [2024-10-11]. (原始內容存檔於2024-08-31).
- ^ North Carolina Governor polls - The Hill and DDHQ. The Hill. [2024-10-11]. (原始內容存檔於2024-11-07).
- ^ 引用錯誤:沒有為名為
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外部連結
編輯
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