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第48屆日本眾議院議員總選舉
← 2014 最晚2018年12月13日
日本眾議院全部475席
295個小選舉區和180個比例代表制議席
  第一大黨 第二大黨 第三大黨
 
領袖 安倍晉三 蓮舫 山口那津男
政黨 自由民主黨 民進黨 公明黨
上任時間 2012年9月26日 2016年10月1日 2009年9月8日
代表選區 栃木縣第四選區 不參選 (參議院) 不參選 (參議院)
上屆結果 291 seats
48.1% (district)
33.11% (block) 		New 35席
1.5% (district)
13.71% (block)
選前席次 290 seats 97 seats 35席
  第四大黨 第五大黨
 
領袖 志位和夫 松井一郎
政黨 日本共產黨 日本維新會
上任時間 2000年11月24日 2015年11月2日
代表選區 南關東比例代表 不參選
(大阪府知事)
上屆結果 21席
13.3% (district)
11.37% (block) 		新政黨
選前席次 21席 15席
區域席次不包括比例區域
選前內閣總理大臣

安倍晉三
自由民主黨

內閣總理大臣-designate


日本 日本政治 日本國政府紋章(桐紋)
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第48屆日本眾議院議員總選舉（第48回衆議院議員総選挙，dai-yonjūhachikai Shūgiin giin sōsenkyo）將在2018年12月13日或在此之前舉行，以符合日本憲法。 Voting will take place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan – 295 single-member districts and eleven proportional blocks –, in order to appoint all 475 members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the 717-member bicameral National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet has to resign after a general House of Representatives election in the first post-election Diet session (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election will also lead to a new designation election of the Prime Minister in the Diet, and the appointment of a new cabinet (even if the same ministers are re-appointed).

Date of the election

編輯

Under the post-occupation interpretation of Article 7 of the Constitution, the cabinet may instruct the Emperor to dissolve the House of Representatives before the end of term at will. Elections must be held within 40 days after dissolution.

The only time in postwar history that the House of Representatives was not dissolved before the end of its term was in 1976. If the House of Representatives completes a full four-year term, the election must be held within 30 days before that. Under certain conditions if the Diet is in session or scheduled to open at that time, the election could take place somewhat beyond the actual end of term under the "public offices election act" (kōshokusenkyohō).[1]

As of June 2015, the Democratic Party of Japan was reportedly preparing a roster of up to 250 candidates so as to be prepared in the event that the next general election was to be held alongside the House of Councillors election in the summer of 2016.[2]

Polling

編輯
Parties' approval ratings since last GE
Date Polling Firm/Source LDP DP K JCP PJK SDP LP IO Oth. No
party 		Und. Lead
style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Komeito/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Japanese Communist Party/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:The Party for Japanese Kokoro/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Liberal Party (Japan, 2016)/meta/color;"| style="background:Template:Initiatives from Osaka/meta/color;"|
9-11 Jun NHK 36.4 7.9 4.2 2.7 0.0 0.9 0.4 1.2 0.3 40.8 5 4.4
12-14 May Yomiuri Shimbun 43 6 2 2 0 0 1 1 39 5 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4
12-14 May NHK 37.5 7.3 3.8 2.7 0.1 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 38.4 7.5 0.9
14-16 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 44 6 3 3 0 0 2 0 38 4 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6
7-9 Apr NHK 38.1 6.7 3.8 3.2 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.2 38.7 7.0 0.6
18-19 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 40 7 2 3 1 0 2 0 43 2 3
10-12 Mar NHK 36.9 7.6 4.1 2.8 0.0 1.1 0.1 1.6 0.4 38.9 6.6 2.0
17-19 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 43 6 4 3 0 0 0 1 0 40 2 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3
11-12 Feb NHK 38.2 6.4 2.8 4.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 40.1 5.2 1.9
7-9 Jan NHK 38.3 8.7 3.5 3.2 0.9 0.0 0.3 38.3 5.3 Tied
2017
8-10 Oct NHK 37.1 9.9 3.9 3.9 0.0 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.2 37.8 4.9 0.7
7-9 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 40 7 3 3 0 1 0 2 1 39 4 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1
9-11 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 46.0 8.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 31.0 2.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 15.0
9-11 Sep NHK 40.2 8.3 4.3 2.5 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.9 0.2 36.0 6.1 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.2
4-6 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 37.0 8.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 43.0 2.0 6.0
12-14 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 42.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 40.0 3.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0
5-7 Feb NHK 37.6 9.6 3.6 3.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6 0.1 35.1 7.4 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.5
30-31 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 40.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 39.0 3.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0
9-11 Jan NHK 37.5 8.1 4.3 4.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.9 0.2 33.1 9.4 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.4
8-10 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 40.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 37.0 4.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.0
2016
17-18 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 37.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 39.0 0.0 2.0
11-13 Dec NHK 37.5 8.5 4.7 5.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.8 0.2 34.3 7.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.2
4-6 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 36.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 43.0 2.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 7.0
6-8 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 40.0 7.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 39.0 2.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0
6-8 Nov NHK 37.1 8.4 3.4 4.1 0.0 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.1 36.3 8.2 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 0.8
10-12 Oct NHK 35.6 8.6 3.3 4.2 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 35.7 10.3 0.1
7-8 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 39.0 10.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 1.0 Tied
19-20 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 33.0 11.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 42.0 3.0 9.0
11–13 Sep NHK 34.7 9.8 3.7 4.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.6 36.2 9.0 1.5
15-16 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun 37.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 3.0 2.0
7–9 Aug NHK 34.3 10.9 3.0 4.2 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.1 34.5 9.6 0.2
24-26 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 36.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 3.0 5.0
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun 31.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 7.0 10.0
11–12 Jul Asahi Shimbun 32.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 10.0 6.0
10–12 Jul NHK 34.7 7.7 4.2 3.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 36.8 9.5 2.1
3-5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 35.0 9.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 44.0 1.0 9.0
20–21 Jun Asahi Shimbun 36.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 41.0 7.0 5.0
5-7 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 38.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.0 2.0 4.0
5–7 Jun NHK 35.8 9.4 3.6 4.4 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.2 33.9 9.3 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.9
16–17 May Asahi Shimbun 39.0 7.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 33.0 10.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6.0
8-10 May Yomiuri Shimbun 43.0 10.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 35.0 2.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.0
8–10 May NHK 37.5 7.8 5.3 3.5 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 34.7 8.4 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.8
18–19 Apr Asahi Shimbun 36.0 7.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 34.0 10.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0
10–12 Apr NHK 37.8 9.2 4.1 4.8 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.3 29.2 9.9 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.6
3-5 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 41.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 40.0 1.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0
14–15 Mar Asahi Shimbun 38.0 8.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 37.0 8.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0
6–8 Mar NHK 36.7 10.9 3.8 4.6 0.0 1.6 0.3 0.3 31.8 8.1 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.9
28 Jan-28 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 43.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 30.0 1.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 13.0
14–15 Feb Asahi Shimbun 40.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 35.0 7.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 5.0
6–8 Feb NHK 41.2 10.3 4.9 4.2 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.1 29.7 6.5 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 11.5
6-7 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 42.0 11.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 35.0 1.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.0
17–18 Jan Asahi Shimbun 33.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 38.0 7.0 5.0
10–12 Jan NHK 39.4 9.2 4.0 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.2 31.9 7.7 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 7.5
9-11 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 41.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 1.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.0
2015
24-25 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 36.0 11.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 32.0 3.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.0
15–16 Dec Asahi Shimbun 35.0 7.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 33.0 12.0 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0
14 Dec 2014 General Election 33.1 18.3 13.7 11.4 2.7 2.5 1.9 不適用 0.7 不適用 不適用 style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 14.9
Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings
Date Polling Firm/Source PM Approval Disapproval No Opinion
9-11 Jun NHK Shinzo Abe 48% 36% 16%
12-14 May Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 61% 28% 11%
12-14 May NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 30% 19%
14-16 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 60% 29% 11%
7-9 Apr NHK Shinzo Abe 53% 27% 20%
18-19 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 56% 33% 12%
10-12 Mar NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 31% 18%
11-12 Feb NHK Shinzo Abe 58% 23% 19%
7-9 Jan NHK Shinzo Abe 55% 29% 16%
2017
9-11 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 62% 29% 9%
9-11 Sep NHK Shinzo Abe 57% 26% 17%
4-6 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 40% 11%
12-14 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 52% 36% 12%
5-7 Feb NHK Shinzo Abe 50% 34% 16%
30-31 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 56% 34% 9%
9-11 Jan NHK Shinzo Abe 46% 35% 19%
8-10 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 54% 36% 9%
2016
17-18 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 39% 12%
11-13 Dec NHK Shinzo Abe 46% 36% 18%
4-6 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 48% 40% 12%
6-8 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 51% 38% 11%
6-8 Nov NHK Shinzo Abe 47% 39% 14%
10-12 Oct NHK Shinzo Abe 43% 40% 17%
7-8 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 46% 45% 8%
19-20 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 41% 51% 8%
11–13 Sep NHK Shinzo Abe 43% 39% 18%
15-16 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 45% 45% 10%
7–9 Aug NHK Shinzo Abe 37% 46% 17%
24-26 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 43% 49% 8%
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 37% 46% 17%
11–12 Jun Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 39% 42% 19%
10–12 Jul NHK Shinzo Abe 41% 43% 16%
3-5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 40% 10%
20–21 Jun Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 39% 37% 24%
5-7 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 53% 36% 10%
5–7 Jun NHK Shinzo Abe 48% 34% 18%
16–17 May Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 45% 32% 23%
8-10 May Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 58% 32% 10%
8–10 May NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 32% 17%
18–19 Apr Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 44% 35% 21%
10–12 Apr NHK Shinzo Abe 51% 34% 15%
3-5 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 57% 35% 8%
14–15 Mar Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 46% 33% 21%
6–8 Mar NHK Shinzo Abe 46% 37% 17%
28 Jan-28 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 56% 36% 8%
14–15 Feb Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 50% 31% 19%
6–8 Feb NHK Shinzo Abe 54% 29% 17%
6-7 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 58% 34% 8%
17–18 Jan Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 42% 37% 21%
10–12 Jan NHK Shinzo Abe 50% 32% 18%
9-11 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 53% 38% 9%
2015
24-25 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Shinzo Abe 49% 41% 10%
15–16 Dec Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 43% 34% 23%
5–7 Dec NHK Shinzo Abe 47% 38% 15%
2014

參考資料

編輯
  1. ^ MIC/e-gov legal database: 公職選挙法, chapter 5 (election dates), article 31 (general elections)
  2. ^ 民主、衆参同日選も想定　年内に候補者170人擁立めざす. Nihon Keizai Shimbun. 6 June 2015 [8 June 2015]. 
取自「https://zh.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Simon_1996/沙盒10&oldid=53286863」