用戶:Simon 1996/沙盒10
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
日本眾議院全部475席 295個小選舉區和180個比例代表制議席 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
區域席次不包括比例區域 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
日本政治 |
---|
第48屆日本眾議院議員總選舉(第48回衆議院議員総選挙,dai-yonjūhachikai Shūgiin giin sōsenkyo)將在2018年12月13日或在此之前舉行,以符合日本憲法。 Voting will take place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan – 295 single-member districts and eleven proportional blocks –, in order to appoint all 475 members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the 717-member bicameral National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet has to resign after a general House of Representatives election in the first post-election Diet session (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election will also lead to a new designation election of the Prime Minister in the Diet, and the appointment of a new cabinet (even if the same ministers are re-appointed).
Date of the election
編輯Under the post-occupation interpretation of Article 7 of the Constitution, the cabinet may instruct the Emperor to dissolve the House of Representatives before the end of term at will. Elections must be held within 40 days after dissolution.
The only time in postwar history that the House of Representatives was not dissolved before the end of its term was in 1976. If the House of Representatives completes a full four-year term, the election must be held within 30 days before that. Under certain conditions if the Diet is in session or scheduled to open at that time, the election could take place somewhat beyond the actual end of term under the "public offices election act" (kōshokusenkyohō).[1]
As of June 2015, the Democratic Party of Japan was reportedly preparing a roster of up to 250 candidates so as to be prepared in the event that the next general election was to be held alongside the House of Councillors election in the summer of 2016.[2]
Polling
編輯- Parties' approval ratings since last GE
Date | Polling Firm/Source | LDP | DP | K | JCP | PJK | SDP | LP | IO | Oth. | No party |
Und. | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Komeito/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Japanese Communist Party/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:The Party for Japanese Kokoro/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Social Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Liberal Party (Japan, 2016)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Initiatives from Osaka/meta/color;"| | |||||||
9-11 Jun | NHK | 36.4 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 40.8 | 5 | 4.4 | |
12-14 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 5 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4 | ||
12-14 May | NHK | 37.5 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 38.4 | 7.5 | 0.9 | |
14-16 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | 44 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6 | ||
7-9 Apr | NHK | 38.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 38.7 | 7.0 | 0.6 | |
18-19 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 3 | ||
10-12 Mar | NHK | 36.9 | 7.6 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 38.9 | 6.6 | 2.0 | |
17-19 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 2 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3 | |
11-12 Feb | NHK | 38.2 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 40.1 | 5.2 | 1.9 | |||
7-9 Jan | NHK | 38.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 38.3 | 5.3 | Tied | |||
2017 | ||||||||||||||
8-10 Oct | NHK | 37.1 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 37.8 | 4.9 | 0.7 | |
7-9 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1 | |
9-11 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 46.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 15.0 | |
9-11 Sep | NHK | 40.2 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 36.0 | 6.1 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.2 | |
4-6 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | |
12-14 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 42.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0 | |||
5-7 Feb | NHK | 37.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 35.1 | 7.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.5 | |
30-31 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | |
9-11 Jan | NHK | 37.5 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 33.1 | 9.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.4 | |
8-10 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 4.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.0 | |
2016 | ||||||||||||||
17-18 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | |
11-13 Dec | NHK | 37.5 | 8.5 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 34.3 | 7.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.2 | |
4-6 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 7.0 | |
6-8 Nov | Yomiuri Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | |
6-8 Nov | NHK | 37.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 36.3 | 8.2 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 0.8 | |
10-12 Oct | NHK | 35.6 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 35.7 | 10.3 | 0.1 | ||
7-8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | 39.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 1.0 | Tied | |||
19-20 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | 33.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | ||
11–13 Sep | NHK | 34.7 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 36.2 | 9.0 | 1.5 | ||
15-16 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | 37.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | |||
7–9 Aug | NHK | 34.3 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 34.5 | 9.6 | 0.2 | ||
24-26 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | |||
18–19 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 31.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | ||
11–12 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | 32.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | ||
10–12 Jul | NHK | 34.7 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 36.8 | 9.5 | 2.1 | ||
3-5 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | 35.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | |||
20–21 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | ||
5-7 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | 38.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | ||
5–7 Jun | NHK | 35.8 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 33.9 | 9.3 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.9 | ||
16–17 May | Asahi Shimbun | 39.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 10.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 6.0 | ||
8-10 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 2.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.0 | ||
8–10 May | NHK | 37.5 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 34.7 | 8.4 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.8 | ||
18–19 Apr | Asahi Shimbun | 36.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 10.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0 | ||
10–12 Apr | NHK | 37.8 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 29.2 | 9.9 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.6 | ||
3-5 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | ||
14–15 Mar | Asahi Shimbun | 38.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 8.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 1.0 | ||
6–8 Mar | NHK | 36.7 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 31.8 | 8.1 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.9 | ||
28 Jan-28 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 43.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 13.0 | ||
14–15 Feb | Asahi Shimbun | 40.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 7.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 5.0 | ||
6–8 Feb | NHK | 41.2 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 29.7 | 6.5 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 11.5 | ||
6-7 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | 42.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 8.0 | ||
17–18 Jan | Asahi Shimbun | 33.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | ||
10–12 Jan | NHK | 39.4 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 31.9 | 7.7 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 7.5 | ||
9-11 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | 41.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 1.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 3.0 | ||
2015 | ||||||||||||||
24-25 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | 36.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 3.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 4.0 | ||
15–16 Dec | Asahi Shimbun | 35.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 12.0 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 2.0 | ||
14 Dec 2014 | General Election | 33.1 | 18.3 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 不適用 | 0.7 | 不適用 | 不適用 | style="background:Template:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)/meta/color; color:white"| 14.9 |
- Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PM | Approval | Disapproval | No Opinion | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9-11 Jun | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 48% | 36% | 16% | ||||||||
12-14 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 61% | 28% | 11% | ||||||||
12-14 May | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 51% | 30% | 19% | ||||||||
14-16 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 60% | 29% | 11% | ||||||||
7-9 Apr | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 53% | 27% | 20% | ||||||||
18-19 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 56% | 33% | 12% | ||||||||
10-12 Mar | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 51% | 31% | 18% | ||||||||
11-12 Feb | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 58% | 23% | 19% | ||||||||
7-9 Jan | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 55% | 29% | 16% | ||||||||
2017 | |||||||||||||
9-11 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 62% | 29% | 9% | ||||||||
9-11 Sep | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 57% | 26% | 17% | ||||||||
4-6 Mar | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 49% | 40% | 11% | ||||||||
12-14 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 52% | 36% | 12% | ||||||||
5-7 Feb | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 50% | 34% | 16% | ||||||||
30-31 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 56% | 34% | 9% | ||||||||
9-11 Jan | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 46% | 35% | 19% | ||||||||
8-10 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 54% | 36% | 9% | ||||||||
2016 | |||||||||||||
17-18 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 49% | 39% | 12% | ||||||||
11-13 Dec | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 46% | 36% | 18% | ||||||||
4-6 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 48% | 40% | 12% | ||||||||
6-8 Nov | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 51% | 38% | 11% | ||||||||
6-8 Nov | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 47% | 39% | 14% | ||||||||
10-12 Oct | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 43% | 40% | 17% | ||||||||
7-8 Oct | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 46% | 45% | 8% | ||||||||
19-20 Sep | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 41% | 51% | 8% | ||||||||
11–13 Sep | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 43% | 39% | 18% | ||||||||
15-16 Aug | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||||||||
7–9 Aug | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 37% | 46% | 17% | ||||||||
24-26 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 43% | 49% | 8% | ||||||||
18–19 Jul | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 37% | 46% | 17% | ||||||||
11–12 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 39% | 42% | 19% | ||||||||
10–12 Jul | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 41% | 43% | 16% | ||||||||
3-5 Jul | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 49% | 40% | 10% | ||||||||
20–21 Jun | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 39% | 37% | 24% | ||||||||
5-7 Jun | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 53% | 36% | 10% | ||||||||
5–7 Jun | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 48% | 34% | 18% | ||||||||
16–17 May | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 45% | 32% | 23% | ||||||||
8-10 May | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 58% | 32% | 10% | ||||||||
8–10 May | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 51% | 32% | 17% | ||||||||
18–19 Apr | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 44% | 35% | 21% | ||||||||
10–12 Apr | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 51% | 34% | 15% | ||||||||
3-5 Apr | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 57% | 35% | 8% | ||||||||
14–15 Mar | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 46% | 33% | 21% | ||||||||
6–8 Mar | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 46% | 37% | 17% | ||||||||
28 Jan-28 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 56% | 36% | 8% | ||||||||
14–15 Feb | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 50% | 31% | 19% | ||||||||
6–8 Feb | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 54% | 29% | 17% | ||||||||
6-7 Feb | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 58% | 34% | 8% | ||||||||
17–18 Jan | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 42% | 37% | 21% | ||||||||
10–12 Jan | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 50% | 32% | 18% | ||||||||
9-11 Jan | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 53% | 38% | 9% | ||||||||
2015 | |||||||||||||
24-25 Dec | Yomiuri Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 49% | 41% | 10% | ||||||||
15–16 Dec | Asahi Shimbun | Shinzo Abe | 43% | 34% | 23% | ||||||||
5–7 Dec | NHK | Shinzo Abe | 47% | 38% | 15% | ||||||||
2014 |
參考資料
編輯- ^ MIC/e-gov legal database: 公職選挙法, chapter 5 (election dates), article 31 (general elections)
- ^ 民主、衆参同日選も想定 年内に候補者170人擁立めざす. Nihon Keizai Shimbun. 6 June 2015 [8 June 2015].